{"id":11711,"date":"2024-12-29T16:18:24","date_gmt":"2024-12-29T16:18:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/?p=11711"},"modified":"2024-12-29T16:21:08","modified_gmt":"2024-12-29T16:21:08","slug":"nigeria-2024-economic-review-and-2025-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/2024\/12\/29\/nigeria-2024-economic-review-and-2025-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"NIGERIA 2024 ECONOMIC REVIEW AND 2025 OUTLOOK"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"s3\"><span class=\"s2\">CENTRE FOR THE PROMOTION OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE [CPPE]<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">NIGERIA 2024 ECONOMIC REVIEW AND 2025 OUTLOOK<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Gross Domestic Product [<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">GDP<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">]<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> Performance<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Despite the intense macroeconomic headwinds<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">in 2024<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, the Nigerian economy <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">exhibited<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">resilience on account of GDP performance. The GDP grew at 2.98% in the first quarter, 3.19% in the second quarter and 3.46% in the third quarter. It may close the year at about <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">3.6%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0This <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">is at par with <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">IMF <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">forecasts for GDP growth for the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sub-Sahara<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> Africa which is 3.6% and better than global GDP forecast of 3.2%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Sectoral <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Growth Disparities<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">T<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">he service sector continued to dominate the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sectoral<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> growth performance for most part of the year. In Q3 2024, the financial services sector <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">outperformed other sectors with <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">a <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">growth performance <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">of<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> 32%. \u00a0Insurance grew by 19.8%, road transport grew by 17.9% and rail transportation <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">19.7%. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">However, real sector growth remained<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">subdued<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">during<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> the year with agriculture posting a GDP growth of 1.14% and manufacturing, 0.92%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> in the third quarter<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> of 2024<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. \u00a0Air Transport, Quary &amp; Minerals, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Petroleum<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> Refining<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> and <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Textile<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sector <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">remained<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> in recession as <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">at<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> third quarter of 2024. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The implication is that sectors with high job creation potentials<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> and <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">prospects<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">for<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> economic inclusion <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">are<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> still<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> struggling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. \u00a0This situation needs to be reversed to fix the current high unemployment and reduce poverty. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The huge disparities in the growth of financial services and the rest of the economy <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">are<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> a reflection of the growing<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">decoupling<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">of<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> the financial services sector <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">from the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">real<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> economy. It also<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">exemplifies <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">the<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> failure of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">financial intermediation role of the financial services sector in the Nigerian economy. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">It <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">is a<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">significant <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">dysfunctionality in the economy<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">which deserves the<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> urgent<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> attention of policy makers<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The current reality is that i<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">nvesting in financial instruments has become much more profitable than investing in the real economy.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The risk is also very low.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> This is not consistent with our economic aspirations<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> as it is a major disincentive to real sector investment. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">There is a need for appropriate policy measures to correct th<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">e huge disparity in the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">profitability<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> between<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">the real economy and the financial economy<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">\u00a0There is also a <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">progressive <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">crowding out of the real <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">economy in the financial markets.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Oil and <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Non-Oil<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> Sectors<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">From a structural perspective, the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">non-oil<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> sector continues to dominate the economic space with the sector contributing 94.43% of the country\u2019s GDP in Q3 2024<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">,<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> while the oil sector contributed 5.57%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. \u00a0However, the economy is <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">characterized<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> by <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">a<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> paradox of the oil sector contributing <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">an estimated <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">9<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">% of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">foreign<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">exchange earnings while the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">non-oil<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> sector accounts for a<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">bout<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">10<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">%. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">This is <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">a structural shortcoming in <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">our<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> economy <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">which<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> needs to be addressed<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> as s<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ectors that contribute hugely to GDP have no corresponding contribution to foreign exchange earnings<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">However, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">it<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> is noteworthy that the non-oil sector contribution to revenue had improved markedly in recent times.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> This <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">economic structure <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">reflects the enormous productivity and <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">competitiveness<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> challenges of the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">non-oil<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> sector of the Nigerian economy. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The policy implication is that more should be done to fix the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">challenges<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> of productivity and competitiveness of the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">non-oil<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> sector of the economy. \u00a0Most of these challenges are the structural <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">issues, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">infrastructural<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> challenges, funding <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">constraints<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">regulatory<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> issues and the general macroeconomic headwinds.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">FOREX REVIEW AND OUTLOOK<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">As at the close of the year, official exchange rate \u00a0[NF<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">EM] was N1,537 up from an average of N1,455.59 in January 2024 \u00a0and N907.1 in December 2023. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">However<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, from July to December 2024, the rate had largely stabilized. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The moderation in exchange rate volatility was informed by the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">series of regulatory reforms and the periodic intervention by the Central Bank in the forex market<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. \u00a0Meanwhile <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">balance <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">outlook for the exchange rate in 2025 is on the upside<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> based on the following expectations:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Sustained improvement in foreign reserves which is currently in excess of $40 billion dollars<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Improvement in accretion to reserves on the back of improved inflows from the IMTOs and diaspora remittances.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Improved capacity of the CBN to moderate rate volatility through periodic intervention in the forex market.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">positive <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">impact of the $2 billion Euro Bond proceeds on reserves.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Positive <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Impact of the successful domestic dollar bond of $500 million. <\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">successful <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">clearance of legacy forex obligations of about $7 billion by the CBN.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The Import substitution effect of the Dangote and Port <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Harcourt<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> refineries <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">with the consequential easing of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">demand pressure on the forex market.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Gradual recovery of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">non-oil<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> export sector<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">and implications for forex inflows.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Inflation Outlook<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High inflationary pressure was a major concern in 2024 with <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">November<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> inflation peaking at 34.2%.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> This situation had the following impact on the economy :<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">General increase in the cost of living with consequential effect of aggravation of the poverty situation.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Elevate<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">d<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> cost of operations and cost of production for <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">businesses<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Significant<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> erosion of profit margins <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">of<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> many businesses as additional costs could not be <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">transferred<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> to consumers because of weak <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">purchasing power of consumers<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Elevated risk of loan defaults.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High project costs across all sectors of the economy, with many cases of abandoned projects<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> resulting from unforeseen<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> cost escalation.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Inflation <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Outlook<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> for 2025<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Inflation may moderate slightly on the expected reduction of the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">volatility<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> of the exchange rate and possible rebound of the naira.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Moderation in energy cost as the geopolitical tension eases as result of the impact of Trump presidency. \u00a0There is <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">a <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">likely boost in global oil production as USA increases production and the embargo Russia eases. \u00a0These are <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">likely<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> outcomes of Trumps presidency.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">There is also the factor of the base effect on the inflation numbers<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> as inflation was generally elevated in 2024.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">However, the following key drivers of inflation may not completely dissipate<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> in 2025<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High energy cost including electricity tariff.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Exchange rate<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Transportation cost<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High Interest rate<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High cargo clearing cost<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Impact of insecurity on agricultural output and food supply<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Climate Change and flooding<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Imported inflation resulting from geopolitical tensions<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">supply chain disruptions<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">trade war<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">and tight global monetary conditions<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Monetary <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">And Financial Conditions<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Given the current disposition of the central bank of Nigeria, monetary conditions may remain tight in 2025. However, the degree<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> of<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> tightening may decelerate in 2025 given the current high levels of MPR and CRR. \u00a0The space for further tightening has become limited. \u00a0Some of the key factors that would shape the monetary <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">outlook include the following:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Strong <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ideological commitment of the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">CBN<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">to orthodox monetary policy<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> which may continue to result in <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">hike in <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">interest rates.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Commitment of the CBN to philosophy of inflation targeting.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Risk of elevated fiscal deficit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> and its inflationary implications.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> There is also the related risk <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">of higher money supply growth in 2025.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Risk of heightened debt levels and consequential implications for <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">increased debt service.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Policy <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Implication<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Government should <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">expedite<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> action to <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">expedite<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> boost capitalization of the development finance institutions \u2013 BOI, BOA, NEXIM<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> to <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">deepen development finance interventions.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Need to revitalize and restructure the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Bank of Agriculture to support the agricultural sector and agro<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">&#8211;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">allied industries with the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">much-needed<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> concessionary financing. \u00a0Current high interest rate in the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">commercial <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">banks continues to impede<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> the recovery and growth of the Nigerian agricultural and agro-allied \u00a0sectors of the economy.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The CBN should soften its tightening stance <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">in order <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">to support investment growth and job creation in the economy. <\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Current high interest regime foisted by the tightening regime<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> increases the risk of loan defaults<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, increasing the prospects of higher <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">non-performing<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> loans in the financial sector. <\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High interest rate <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">also increases debt service cost for government<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> with the current huge exposure to domestic debts.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High interest rates typically <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">pose<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> sig<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ni<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ficant risks to <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">business<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">sustainability<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> amidst numerous headwinds.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">There is a need to protect the real economy from the adverse consequences of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">free market principles.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> This is the basis of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">government<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> intervention in a market economy.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Energy Sector Outlook<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The outlook for the Nigeria energy sector is moderately positive especially following the increased capacity in domestic refining of petroleum products. \u00a0But this will require <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">supportive fiscal and monetary policy support to unlock the full potentials of the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">domestic refineries and stimulate more investments in the sector. \u00a0factors that may drive the positive outlook for the sector include:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Enhanced domestic petroleum refining capacity from the Dangote refineries, the Port Harcourt <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Refineries<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> and others.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Emerging competition among domestic refineries which may have a moderating effect on prices.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Expectation of a slump in global energy prices on the back of Trump presidency and the easing of geopolitical challenges in the 2025.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Sustenance<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> of the naira for cru<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">de arrangement which could help moderate prices of domestic refining of crude.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">More generous fiscal incentives for the CNG and renewable energy solutions.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">However, the electricity pricing <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">conundrum<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">would <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">remain a <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">tricky<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> issue in <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">2025. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The economy is too fragile to <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">absorb<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> the shocks of a fully deregulated or <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">commercial<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">electricity<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">market. \u00a0The quality of the <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">transmission<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">infrastructures<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> and the consequent frequent collapse of the transmission grid <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">require<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">significant investment which the government would have to struggle to provide. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The outlook for the sector remains a major cause for worry in 2025<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. \u00a0There <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">are<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> also the transition challenges of the states taking up regulatory responsibilities for electricity market. Not many states have the capacity to manage this transition. This is therefore a major source of risk for the electricity sector in 2025.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Key Business Risks in 2025<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Businesses would have to worry about the following risks as they craft their <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">strategies<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> for 2025<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> Exposure to the risks vary across sectors.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Businesses<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> would therefore need to <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">calibrate<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">their strategies <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">according to the level of exposure these risks.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Forex Volatility Risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Interest Rate Risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Inflation Risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Financial And Monetary Policy Risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Regulatory Risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Cybersecurity risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Insecurity<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> Risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Political Risk<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Corruption Risk<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, especially with regard to public sector transactions and contracts.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Environmental \/Climate Change Risk.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Silver Lining <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">in<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> The Current Reforms<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Current economic reforms have their silver lining<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">s<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> which includes the following:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Enormous <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">opportunities for import substitution across all sectors.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> It reduces cost<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">improves patronage and profitability. \u00a0This is <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">essentially about focusing more on<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">backward integration initiatives.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Boost to recycling business<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> because of the soaring cost of <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">raw materials and other inputs.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Provision of domestic alternatives to medical tourism<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, education tourism and vacations abroad. Many Nigeria elites are now seeking <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">domestic <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">alternatives in these areas<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> because of the forex situat<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ion. This <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">offers new opportunities for domestic investors.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Local fabrications of spare parts and other mechanical devices.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">High food prices <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">offer<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">new <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">opportunit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">ies and incentives<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> for investment in agriculture<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">because of better profitability prospects.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Outlook for export business has become very positive because of the weak domestic currency. It enhances the competitiveness of domestically produced products or services. \u00a0But the local content of such products must be very substantial to guarantee good profitability prospects.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">The weak currency <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">now offers bigger o<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">pportunities for diaspora Nigerians to invest at home.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">There should be deliberate policy to promote <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">legal <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">migration abroad<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> to fill skill gaps <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">in many of the countries in Europe and North America<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">, especially United States and Canada<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Many of these countries are also experiencing aging population which offer<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">s opportunities for our youths, many of whom are currently unemployed.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Brighter prospects for o<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">utsourcing<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> business<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">for <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">foreign companies<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Bigger Investment opportunities in the petroleum refineries and related industries following the deregulation of the sector.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Growing o<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">pportunities in renewable energy investment<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> which are <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">cheaper and more environment friendly.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">New opportunities in the use of CNG, LPG in transportation.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s9\">\uf0b4 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Decentralization<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> of electricity provision <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">opens up <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">numerous <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">opportunities in the electricity value chain.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Business Resilience Strategies in 2025<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Business managers and owners need to <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">prioritize<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> the following to ensure resilience in 2025.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Leveraging technology to <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">reduce cost and ensure competitiveness.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Industries need to deepen backward integration to reduce the forex exposure.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Reduction in debt financing to reduce the burden of high interest rate.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Adoption of efficient energy solutions to reduce the pressure of high energy cost.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Supply chains should be domesticated as much as possible.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Focus on talent retention, especially in specialized job functions.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Incorporate scenario planning framework<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\"> in business strategy to manage uncertainties and volatilities.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"s8\"><span class=\"s7\">\u2022 <\/span><span class=\"s6\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">Businesses must ensure cost optimization.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">DR MUDA YUSUF<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">DIRECTOR\/CEO<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">CENTRE FOR THE PROMOTION OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE [CPPE]<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s4\"><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">29<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s10\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">TH <\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">DECEMBER 202<\/span><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><span class=\"bumpedFont15\">4<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CENTRE FOR THE PROMOTION OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE [CPPE] NIGERIA 2024 ECONOMIC REVIEW AND 2025 OUTLOOK Gross Domestic Product [GDP] Performance<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11713,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-from-the-grassroots"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11711","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11711"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11711\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11714,"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11711\/revisions\/11714"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenewsnow.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}